Boston Bruins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-01-06 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 7 - 4 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Win (66% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 34.2%

BOS: 65.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.92

BOS: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	SEA	BOS
Season SV%	0.903	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	36	32	4	88.9%	4.03	4	0.03
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	27	20	7	74.1%	3.67	3	-3.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs BOS: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	BOS 4 - 2 SEA	BOS	BOS
2026-01-06	SEA 7 - 4 BOS	SEA	BOS
2024-12-12	SEA 5 - 1 BOS	SEA	SEA
2024-11-03	BOS 2 - 0 SEA	BOS	BOS
2024-02-26	SEA 4 - 3 BOS	SEA	BOS

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	11	1	0.65
1	BOS	13	0	0.61
2	SEA	19	0	1.33
2	BOS	26	2	1.62
3	SEA	10	2	1.70
3	BOS	22	2	1.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown