Ottawa Senators at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2026-01-07 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 1 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 50.8%
OTT: 49.2%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.22
OTT: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | UTA | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.970 | — |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs OTT: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | UTA 3 - 1 OTT | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-09 | OTT 4 - 2 UTA | OTT | UTA |
| 2025-01-26 | OTT 3 - 1 UTA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-10-22 | UTA 0 - 4 OTT | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:59 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:20 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 17:41 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:41 | UTA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 1 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1
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