Ottawa Senators at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-01-07 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

UTA: 51.7%

OTT: 48.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.06

OTT: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs OTT: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	UTA 3 - 1 OTT	UTA	UTA
2025-11-09	OTT 4 - 2 UTA	OTT	OTT
2025-01-26	OTT 3 - 1 UTA	OTT	OTT
2024-10-22	UTA 0 - 4 OTT	OTT	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	13	1	0.75
1	OTT	11	2	1.08
2	UTA	8	1	0.81
2	OTT	22	1	1.69
3	UTA	13	2	1.12
3	OTT	16	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9