Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

BOS: 64.1%

CGY: 35.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 4.09

CGY: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs CGY: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	BOS 4 - 1 CGY	BOS	BOS
2025-12-29	CGY 2 - 1 BOS	CGY	CGY
2024-12-17	CGY 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CGY
2024-11-07	BOS 4 - 3 CGY	BOS	BOS
2024-02-22	CGY 3 - 2 BOS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	19	0	0.72
1	CGY	11	1	0.68
2	BOS	16	2	1.38
2	CGY	12	2	1.22
3	BOS	18	1	1.10
3	CGY	16	0	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 4.1 - 2.9