Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2026-01-08 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 64.3%
CGY: 35.7%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.38
CGY: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | BOS | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.911 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs CGY: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | BOS 4 - 1 CGY | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-29 | CGY 2 - 1 BOS | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-12-17 | CGY 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | CGY |
| 2024-11-07 | BOS 4 - 3 CGY | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-02-22 | CGY 3 - 2 BOS | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:48 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 12:06 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 14:02 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 17:59 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 18:44 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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