Florida Panthers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 2 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 43.9%

FLA: 56.1%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.03

FLA: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MTL at home vs FLA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MTL 4 - 3 FLA	MTL	FLA
2026-01-08	MTL 6 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-12-30	FLA 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-01	MTL 3 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-03-30	FLA 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	12	0	0.62
1	FLA	9	1	0.82
2	MTL	8	0	0.43
2	FLA	17	2	1.33
3	MTL	13	3	2.29
3	FLA	17	1	1.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0