Vancouver Canucks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

DET: 56.7%

VAN: 43.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.83

VAN: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 55%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	DET	VAN
Season SV%	0.893	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.97	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	John Gibson	24	23	1	95.8%	2.21	0	1.21
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	25	20	5	80.0%	3.41	3	-1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs VAN: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	DET 5 - 1 VAN	DET	DET
2025-12-08	VAN 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-02-02	VAN 2 - 3 DET	DET	VAN
2024-12-01	DET 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-02-15	VAN 4 - 1 DET	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	16	0	1.19
1	VAN	14	0	0.80
2	DET	12	1	0.83
2	VAN	10	0	0.62
3	DET	12	2	1.40
3	VAN	18	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown