Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2026-01-08 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 43.5%
BUF: 56.5%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.82
BUF: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | NYR | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.937 | 0.906 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYR at home vs BUF: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | NYR 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-01-08 | NYR 2 - 5 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-10-09 | BUF 0 - 4 NYR | NYR | BUF |
| 2025-02-22 | BUF 8 - 2 NYR | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-12-11 | BUF 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 06:58 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 14:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 18:30 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1
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