Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

NYR: 38.4%

BUF: 61.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.85

BUF: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYR at home vs BUF: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	NYR 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-08	NYR 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-09	BUF 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-22	BUF 8 - 2 NYR	BUF	BUF
2024-12-11	BUF 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	0	0.40
1	BUF	10	0	0.80
2	NYR	13	1	1.14
2	BUF	19	2	1.97
3	NYR	22	0	1.28
3	BUF	7	2	1.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5