Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2026-01-08 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 57.5%
BUF: 42.5%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.06
BUF: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | NYR | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.906 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • NYR at home vs BUF: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | NYR 2 - 5 BUF | BUF | NYR |
| 2025-10-09 | BUF 0 - 4 NYR | NYR | BUF |
| 2025-02-22 | BUF 8 - 2 NYR | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-12-11 | BUF 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | BUF |
| 2024-11-07 | NYR 1 - 6 BUF | BUF | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 06:58 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 18:30 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 14:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:51 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9