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Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
PHI: 64.3%
TOR: 35.7%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.65
TOR: 2.49
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 36%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
StatPHITOR
Season SV%0.9100.914
Last 5 SV%0.9140.863
SV% vs Opponent0.890—
GAA2.402.74
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs TOR: 1-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-02TOR 2 - 3 PHIPHIPHI
2026-01-08PHI 1 - 2 TORTORPHI
2025-11-01PHI 2 - 5 TORTORTOR
2025-03-25TOR 7 - 2 PHITORTOR
2025-01-07PHI 2 - 3 TORTORPHI

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
200:55PHIGoal
314:04PHIGoal
402:48TORGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.7 - 2.5