Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 50.2%

EDM: 49.8%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.10

EDM: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs EDM: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	WPG 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-29	WPG 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-06	EDM 6 - 2 WPG	EDM	EDM
2025-04-13	WPG 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-20	EDM 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	17	0	1.16
1	EDM	10	0	0.79
2	WPG	10	0	0.48
2	EDM	17	1	1.43
3	WPG	4	0	0.32
3	EDM	15	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3