Ottawa Senators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 8 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

COL: 73.5%

OTT: 26.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.98

OTT: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs OTT: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-28	OTT 5 - 2 COL	OTT	COL
2026-01-08	COL 8 - 2 OTT	COL	COL
2025-03-20	OTT 1 - 5 COL	COL	OTT
2024-10-27	COL 5 - 4 OTT	COL	COL
2024-01-16	OTT 4 - 7 COL	COL	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	17	0	0.77
1	OTT	14	0	0.53
2	COL	19	1	1.36
2	OTT	11	0	0.46
3	COL	11	2	0.98
3	OTT	17	1	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 8 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 4.0 - 2.8