Ottawa Senators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-01-08 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 8 - 2 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 67.3%
OTT: 32.7%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.78
OTT: 2.47
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | COL | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.935 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs OTT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | OTT 5 - 2 COL | OTT | COL |
| 2026-01-08 | COL 8 - 2 OTT | COL | COL |
| 2025-03-20 | OTT 1 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-10-27 | COL 5 - 4 OTT | COL | COL |
| 2024-01-16 | OTT 4 - 7 COL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:11 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 17:14 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 02:35 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:08 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:46 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:03 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:23 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:48 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:04 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:03 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 8 - 2 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.8 - 2.5
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