Columbus Blue Jackets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VGK: 63.2%

CBJ: 36.8%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.91

CBJ: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 53%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VGK

Carter Hart - 4-2-3 | 0.883 SV% | 3.18 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	VGK	CBJ
Season SV%	0.883	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.18	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Carter Hart	25	22	3	88.0%	3.43	4	0.43
CBJ	Jet Greaves	26	21	5	80.8%	2.87	1	-2.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VGK at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	VGK 5 - 3 CBJ	VGK	VGK
2025-12-13	CBJ 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-03-13	CBJ 0 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-30	VGK 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	VGK
2024-03-23	VGK 4 - 2 CBJ	VGK	VGK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	8	0	0.36
1	CBJ	15	1	1.02
2	VGK	13	1	1.05
2	CBJ	10	0	0.81
3	VGK	17	0	1.46
3	CBJ	19	3	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown