Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 40.3%

MIN: 59.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.97

MIN: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Stat	SEA	MIN
Season SV%	0.920	0.928
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.32	2.21

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	34	31	3	91.2%	2.78	1	-0.22
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	28	26	2	92.9%	2.81	1	0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs MIN: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MIN 5 - 2 SEA	MIN	MIN
2026-01-08	SEA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-08	SEA 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA
2025-03-19	MIN 4 - 0 SEA	MIN	MIN
2025-03-04	SEA 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	17	0	0.87
1	MIN	12	0	0.49
2	SEA	18	0	0.72
2	MIN	11	1	0.62
3	SEA	19	1	1.22
3	MIN	17	0	0.83
4	SEA	0	0	0.00
4	MIN	6	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4