Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-01-09 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CHI: 49.0%

WSH: 51.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.92

WSH: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CHI at home vs WSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-09	CHI 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-03	WSH 2 - 3 CHI	CHI	WSH
2025-04-04	WSH 5 - 3 CHI	WSH	WSH
2024-12-17	CHI 3 - 2 WSH	CHI	CHI
2024-03-09	WSH 4 - 1 CHI	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	3	1.81
1	WSH	9	1	0.90
2	CHI	11	1	1.02
2	WSH	15	0	0.80
3	CHI	14	0	0.43
3	WSH	12	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3