Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-09 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 44.1%

LAK: 55.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.38

LAK: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	WPG	LAK
Season SV%	0.880	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.49	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	24	23	1	95.8%	3.66	2	2.66
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	19	14	5	73.7%	2.46	1	-2.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-09	WPG 5 - 1 LAK	WPG	LAK
2025-11-04	LAK 3 - 0 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-10-11	WPG 3 - 2 LAK	WPG	WPG
2025-04-01	LAK 4 - 1 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-01-10	WPG 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	0	0.82
1	LAK	11	0	0.53
2	WPG	14	1	1.51
2	LAK	19	2	1.18
3	WPG	7	0	0.13
3	LAK	26	0	1.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown