St. Louis Blues at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-01-09 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 69.0%

STL: 31.0%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.76

STL: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Stat	UTA	STL
Season SV%	0.895	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	2.87

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	28	26	2	92.9%	3.67	4	1.67
STL	Joel Hofer	23	19	4	82.6%	3.99	5	-0.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • UTA at home vs STL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	UTA 3 - 5 STL	STL	UTA
2026-01-09	UTA 4 - 2 STL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-29	STL 1 - 0 UTA	STL	UTA
2025-10-23	STL 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-15	STL 6 - 1 UTA	STL	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	12	0	0.78
1	STL	21	2	1.63
2	UTA	16	0	0.83
2	STL	11	1	0.57
3	UTA	15	5	2.38
3	STL	17	1	1.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown