New York Rangers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 10 - 2 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 54.4%

NYR: 45.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.40

NYR: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Stat	BOS	NYR
Season SV%	0.903	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.84	2.11

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	29	27	2	93.1%	2.93	3	0.93
NYR	Jonathan Quick	34	24	10	70.6%	4.46	2	-5.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • BOS at home vs NYR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-26	NYR 4 - 3 BOS	NYR	NYR
2026-01-10	BOS 10 - 2 NYR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-28	BOS 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-05	NYR 3 - 2 BOS	NYR	NYR
2025-02-01	BOS 6 - 3 NYR	BOS	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	21	1	2.26
1	NYR	10	0	0.36
2	BOS	14	1	1.12
2	NYR	13	2	1.00
3	BOS	19	0	1.09
3	NYR	23	1	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown