Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

COL: 80.9%

CBJ: 19.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.03

CBJ: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

COL

Trent Miner - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Stat	COL	CBJ
Season SV%	0.000	0.877
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	0.00	4.04

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Trent Miner	29	29	0	100.0%	2.98	1	2.98
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	31	27	4	87.1%	2.55	0	-1.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	COL 4 - 0 CBJ	COL	COL
2025-10-16	CBJ 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-03	CBJ 3 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-10-12	COL 4 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	COL
2024-04-01	CBJ 4 - 1 COL	CBJ	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	19	0	1.30
1	CBJ	15	0	0.62
2	COL	10	0	0.63
2	CBJ	22	1	1.38
3	COL	16	0	0.62
3	CBJ	16	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown