Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-01-10 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 Dallas Stars (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 48.2%
DAL: 51.8%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.88
DAL: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 4.6
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | SJS | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.926 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SJS at home vs DAL: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | SJS 5 - 4 DAL | SJS | DAL |
| 2025-12-18 | SJS 3 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-05 | DAL 4 - 1 SJS | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-08 | SJS 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | SJS |
| 2024-11-20 | DAL 5 - 2 SJS | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:33 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 19:03 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:44 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:49 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:01 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:53 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 09:28 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:01 | SJS | Goal |
| 4 | 01:58 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8
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