Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

BUF: 58.7%

ANA: 41.3%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.23

ANA: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	ANA 6 - 5 BUF	ANA	ANA
2026-01-10	BUF 5 - 3 ANA	BUF	BUF
2025-02-25	BUF 3 - 2 ANA	BUF	BUF
2024-11-22	ANA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-02-19	BUF 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	18	1	1.02
1	ANA	13	0	0.33
2	BUF	13	0	0.95
2	ANA	19	0	0.92
3	BUF	12	1	1.51
3	ANA	19	2	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0