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Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 0 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
TOR: 44.4%
VAN: 55.6%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.25
VAN: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
StatTORVAN
Season SV%0.9140.885
Last 5 SV%0.8630.872
SV% vs Opponent0.9660.889
GAA2.743.41
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs VAN: 2-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-31VAN 2 - 3 TORTORVAN
2026-01-10TOR 5 - 0 VANTORVAN
2025-02-08VAN 2 - 1 TORVANTOR
2025-01-11TOR 0 - 3 VANVANTOR
2024-01-20VAN 6 - 4 TORVANVAN

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
108:03TORGoal
116:31TORGoal
119:40TORGoal
213:07TORGoal
319:46TORGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 0 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0