Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 0 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

TOR: 52.7%

VAN: 47.3%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.20

VAN: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	VAN 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	VAN
2026-01-10	TOR 5 - 0 VAN	TOR	TOR
2025-02-08	VAN 2 - 1 TOR	VAN	TOR
2025-01-11	TOR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	TOR
2024-01-20	VAN 6 - 4 TOR	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	8	1	0.88
1	VAN	21	0	1.50
2	TOR	19	0	1.25
2	VAN	15	1	1.07
3	TOR	7	0	0.61
3	VAN	14	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 0 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0