Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-01-10 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 59.5%
FLA: 40.5%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.11
FLA: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | OTT | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.778 | 0.915 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs FLA: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | OTT 2 - 3 FLA | FLA | OTT |
| 2025-10-11 | FLA 6 - 2 OTT | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-04-05 | OTT 3 - 0 FLA | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-02-08 | FLA 5 - 1 OTT | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-10-10 | OTT 3 - 1 FLA | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:34 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 04:03 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:13 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:18 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 03:48 | FLA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0