Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 64.5%

FLA: 35.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.25

FLA: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • OTT at home vs FLA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	OTT
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	9	0	0.55
1	FLA	12	1	0.75
2	OTT	17	1	1.33
2	FLA	13	0	0.75
3	OTT	18	1	1.51
3	FLA	7	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9