Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 0 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (76% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 75.6%

CHI: 24.4%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.44

CHI: 2.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CHI

D. Commesso

Stat	NSH	CHI
Season SV%	0.897	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	21	18	3	85.7%	2.85	3	-0.15
CHI	D. Commesso	36	36	0	100.0%	3.19	0	3.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • NSH at home vs CHI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	CHI 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	CHI
2026-02-26	NSH 4 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH
2026-01-10	NSH 0 - 3 CHI	CHI	NSH
2025-11-28	CHI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-03-08	NSH 3 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	16	0	0.67
1	CHI	9	0	0.44
2	NSH	16	0	1.04
2	CHI	15	1	1.21
3	NSH	20	0	1.47
3	CHI	7	2	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 75.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown