New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 New York Islanders (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 50.0%

NYI: 50.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.16

NYI: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	MIN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MIN
2025-11-07	NYI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	NYI
2025-04-04	NYI 3 - 1 MIN	NYI	NYI
2025-02-08	MIN 6 - 3 NYI	MIN	MIN
2024-01-15	MIN 5 - 0 NYI	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	0	1.21
1	NYI	10	1	1.21
2	MIN	14	1	1.32
2	NYI	19	1	1.18
3	MIN	24	1	1.79
3	NYI	13	0	0.63
4	MIN	0	0	0.00
4	NYI	2	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1