Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 61.2%

LAK: 38.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.17

LAK: 3.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • EDM at home vs LAK: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	13	0	0.66
1	LAK	13	1	1.01
2	EDM	14	0	0.93
2	LAK	17	0	0.98
3	EDM	5	0	0.49
3	LAK	15	0	0.61
4	EDM	7	0	0.74
4	LAK	0	0	0.00
5	EDM	3	0	0.19
5	LAK	2	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.9