St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2026-01-10 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 66.1%
STL: 33.9%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.61
STL: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | VGK | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VGK at home vs STL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | VGK 4 - 2 STL | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-02 | STL 4 - 3 VGK | STL | STL |
| 2025-11-15 | STL 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | STL |
| 2025-01-23 | STL 2 - 4 VGK | VGK | STL |
| 2025-01-20 | VGK 4 - 5 STL | STL | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:34 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 00:53 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:48 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 01:27 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:36 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 03:33 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.6 - 2.7