St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

VGK: 76.1%

STL: 23.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.90

STL: 2.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs STL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	VGK 4 - 2 STL	VGK	VGK
2026-01-02	STL 4 - 3 VGK	STL	VGK
2025-11-15	STL 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-23	STL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-20	VGK 4 - 5 STL	STL	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	16	0	1.07
1	STL	9	1	0.77
2	VGK	13	0	0.68
2	STL	13	0	0.52
3	VGK	5	2	0.86
3	STL	10	2	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.9 - 2.6