New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 49.6%

NJD: 50.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.39

NJD: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WPG at home vs NJD: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	NJD
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	1	1.32
1	NJD	11	2	0.81
2	WPG	11	2	1.65
2	NJD	22	2	1.60
3	WPG	15	2	1.59
3	NJD	13	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2