New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2026-01-11 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 49.1%
NJD: 50.9%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.45
NJD: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 3.9
Over 5.5: 30%
Over 6.5: 18%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | WPG | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WPG at home vs NJD: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | NJD 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | NJD |
| 2026-01-11 | WPG 4 - 3 NJD | WPG | NJD |
| 2025-03-28 | WPG 4 - 0 NJD | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-03-07 | NJD 1 - 6 WPG | WPG | NJD |
| 2024-03-21 | NJD 4 - 1 WPG | NJD | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:50 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 19:27 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 01:05 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 02:36 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 08:08 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 17:57 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 06:17 | WPG | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.5 - 3.0
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