New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 55.5%

NJD: 44.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.01

NJD: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Stat	WPG	NJD
Season SV%	0.907	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.52

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	27	24	3	88.9%	3.22	5	0.22
NJD	Jake Allen	22	18	4	81.8%	4.56	5	0.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs NJD: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	1	1.32
1	NJD	11	2	0.81
2	WPG	11	2	1.65
2	NJD	22	2	1.60
3	WPG	15	2	1.59
3	NJD	13	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown