Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2026-01-11 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 1 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 50.2%
PIT: 49.8%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.14
PIT: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | BOS | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.971 | 0.936 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs PIT: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | PIT 5 - 4 BOS | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-03-03 | BOS 2 - 1 PIT | BOS | PIT |
| 2026-01-11 | BOS 1 - 0 PIT | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-13 | PIT 1 - 4 BOS | BOS | PIT |
| 2025-03-01 | PIT 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:00 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 1 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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