Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2026-01-11 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 47.8%
WSH: 52.2%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.10
WSH: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | NSH | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.884 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs WSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | WSH 4 - 2 NSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2026-01-11 | NSH 3 - 2 WSH | NSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-11 | NSH 1 - 4 WSH | WSH | NSH |
| 2024-11-06 | WSH 3 - 2 NSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2023-12-30 | WSH 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:56 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 13:15 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 01:12 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 03:29 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 09:03 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.