Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-01-11 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 7 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

SJS: 35.9%

VGK: 64.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.51

VGK: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 4.9

Over 5.5: 45%

Over 6.5: 30%

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • SJS at home vs VGK: 0-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-11	SJS 2 - 7 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-12-23	VGK 7 - 2 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-11-29	VGK 4 - 3 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-10-09	SJS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-07	SJS 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	07:19	VGK	Goal
1	09:33	SJS	Goal
1	10:57	VGK	Goal
2	04:19	VGK	Goal
2	11:00	VGK	Goal
2	12:25	VGK	Goal
2	16:29	VGK	Goal
3	17:03	VGK	Goal
3	18:59	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 7 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.5 - 3.1