Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-01-12 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BUF: 45.3%

FLA: 54.7%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.08

FLA: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • BUF at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	14	0	0.60
1	FLA	17	0	0.59
2	BUF	15	1	1.18
2	FLA	13	0	0.61
3	BUF	14	1	0.93
3	FLA	20	2	2.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1