Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-01-12 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 37.1%
CAR: 62.9%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.58
CAR: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | DET | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.901 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • DET at home vs CAR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | CAR 5 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-12 | DET 4 - 3 CAR | DET | CAR |
| 2025-12-27 | CAR 5 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-04 | DET 5 - 3 CAR | DET | CAR |
| 2025-03-14 | CAR 4 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:32 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 01:28 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 04:54 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 04:44 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 07:56 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 16:59 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 03:27 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.6 - 3.1
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