Seattle Kraken at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2026-01-12 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 59.1%
SEA: 40.9%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.58
SEA: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | NYR | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.846 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • NYR at home vs SEA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | NYR 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | NYR |
| 2025-11-01 | SEA 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | SEA |
| 2024-12-08 | NYR 5 - 7 SEA | SEA | NYR |
| 2024-11-17 | SEA 0 - 2 NYR | NYR | SEA |
| 2024-01-16 | NYR 5 - 2 SEA | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:31 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 03:08 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:27 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:00 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:50 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 12:02 | SEA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 2.6 - 3.1