Vancouver Canucks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-01-12 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

MTL: 62.5%

VAN: 37.5%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.90

VAN: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	MTL 6 - 3 VAN	MTL	MTL
2025-10-25	VAN 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-03-11	VAN 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	VAN
2025-01-06	MTL 5 - 4 VAN	MTL	MTL
2024-03-21	VAN 4 - 1 MTL	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	18	1	1.38
1	VAN	9	1	0.74
2	MTL	21	3	2.12
2	VAN	10	3	1.11
3	MTL	18	1	1.22
3	VAN	15	2	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.9