Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-01-12 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 31.5%

EDM: 68.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.91

EDM: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

EDM

Connor Ingram - 2-2-0 | 0.883 SV% | 3.28 GAA

Stat	CHI	EDM
Season SV%	0.909	0.883
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	3.28

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	37	33	4	89.2%	4.30	3	0.30
EDM	Connor Ingram	30	29	1	96.7%	3.26	2	2.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CHI at home vs EDM: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	EDM 3 - 1 CHI	EDM	EDM
2026-01-12	CHI 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-11-01	EDM 3 - 2 CHI	EDM	EDM
2025-02-05	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-11	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.55
1	EDM	17	1	1.56
2	CHI	18	2	1.55
2	EDM	23	0	1.29
3	CHI	18	0	1.15
3	EDM	14	2	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown