Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-01-12 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 55.1%

DAL: 44.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.33

DAL: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Stat	LAK	DAL
Season SV%	0.913	0.907
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	2.57

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	18	15	3	83.3%	2.75	3	-0.25
DAL	Jake Oettinger	25	24	1	96.0%	1.61	1	0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • LAK at home vs DAL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	5	0	0.12
1	DAL	7	0	0.37
2	LAK	18	0	0.62
2	DAL	9	0	0.56
3	LAK	11	1	0.88
3	DAL	13	3	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown