Calgary Flames at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-01-13 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 Calgary Flames

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 51.2%

CGY: 48.8%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.07

CGY: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 14-14-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.82 GAA

Stat	CBJ	CGY
Season SV%	0.909	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.82

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	32	29	3	90.6%	4.34	6	1.34
CGY	Dustin Wolf	43	38	5	88.4%	4.86	3	-0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CBJ at home vs CGY: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	CBJ 5 - 3 CGY	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-05	CGY 5 - 1 CBJ	CGY	CGY
2024-12-03	CGY 3 - 0 CBJ	CGY	CGY
2024-11-29	CBJ 5 - 2 CGY	CBJ	CBJ
2024-01-25	CGY 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CGY

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	19	0	1.02
1	CGY	13	0	0.64
2	CBJ	20	0	0.88
2	CGY	8	3	1.36
3	CBJ	23	3	2.96
3	CGY	23	3	2.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown