Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-01-13 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 0 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

BOS: 63.8%

DET: 36.2%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.47

DET: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • BOS at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	20	0	1.09
1	DET	17	1	1.22
2	BOS	16	0	0.80
2	DET	17	1	1.14
3	BOS	18	2	2.42
3	DET	10	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 0 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9