New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-13 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 4 New York Islanders

Win Probability

WPG: 52.5%

NYI: 47.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.11

NYI: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs NYI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	WPG 5 - 4 NYI	WPG	WPG
2025-10-13	NYI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NYI
2025-03-04	NYI 3 - 2 WPG	NYI	WPG
2025-02-07	WPG 4 - 3 NYI	WPG	WPG
2024-03-23	NYI 6 - 3 WPG	NYI	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	1	1.42
1	NYI	14	1	1.06
2	WPG	15	1	1.49
2	NYI	13	1	1.14
3	WPG	5	2	1.13
3	NYI	15	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2