New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2026-01-13 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 5 - 4 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 56.6%
NYI: 43.4%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.80
NYI: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | WPG | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.852 | 0.809 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WPG at home vs NYI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | WPG 5 - 4 NYI | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-10-13 | NYI 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | NYI |
| 2025-03-04 | NYI 3 - 2 WPG | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-02-07 | WPG 4 - 3 NYI | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-23 | NYI 6 - 3 WPG | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:20 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 19:40 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 12:23 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 10:21 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 08:58 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 07:40 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 06:23 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 05:41 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:14 | WPG | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 5 - 4 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1