Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-01-13 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 6 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

UTA: 79.4%

TOR: 20.6%

Expected Goals

UTA: 4.06

TOR: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs TOR: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	UTA 6 - 1 TOR	UTA	UTA
2025-11-05	TOR 5 - 3 UTA	TOR	TOR
2025-03-10	UTA 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	UTA
2024-11-24	TOR 3 - 2 UTA	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	24	0	1.30
1	TOR	13	2	0.91
2	UTA	20	0	1.15
2	TOR	13	0	0.80
3	UTA	25	4	2.89
3	TOR	10	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 6 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 4.1 - 2.6