🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live
📊 Daily Predictions 📈 Model Performance 🏆 Stanley Cup Odds ⚡ Live Win Probability

Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-01-13 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 6 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
UTA: 70.9%
TOR: 29.1%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.56
TOR: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 57%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
StatUTATOR
Season SV%0.8950.914
Last 5 SV%0.8780.863
SV% vs Opponent0.950—
GAA2.682.74
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs TOR: 1-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-13UTA 6 - 1 TORUTAUTA
2025-11-05TOR 5 - 3 UTATORTOR
2025-03-10UTA 3 - 4 TORTORUTA
2024-11-24TOR 3 - 2 UTATORTOR

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
103:22UTAGoal
205:26UTAGoal
206:44UTAGoal
215:25UTAGoal
303:30UTAGoal
313:29UTAGoal
316:54UTAGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Hockey Club

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 6 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.6 - 2.9