Seattle Kraken at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-01-14 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 59.4%

SEA: 40.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.84

SEA: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Stat	NJD	SEA
Season SV%	0.884	0.920
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.32	2.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	17	15	2	88.2%	2.57	3	0.57
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	26	23	3	88.5%	2.57	1	-0.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NJD at home vs SEA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	SEA 4 - 2 NJD	SEA	SEA
2026-01-14	NJD 3 - 2 SEA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-06	SEA 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-06	NJD 3 - 2 SEA	NJD	NJD
2024-02-12	NJD 3 - 1 SEA	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	6	0	0.56
1	SEA	8	1	0.92
2	NJD	17	0	0.99
2	SEA	10	1	0.55
3	NJD	12	0	0.62
3	SEA	13	1	0.82
4	NJD	3	1	0.40
4	SEA	3	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9