Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-01-14 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 8 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 51.6%

OTT: 48.4%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.17

OTT: 2.08

Total Goals

Median: 3.6

Over 5.5: 27%

Over 6.5: 17%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-23	NYR 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-14	NYR 4 - 8 OTT	OTT	NYR
2025-12-04	OTT 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	OTT
2025-03-08	OTT 4 - 3 NYR	OTT	OTT
2025-01-21	NYR 5 - 0 OTT	NYR	NYR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:18	OTT	Goal
1	04:53	OTT	Goal
1	15:01	OTT	Goal
1	19:54	OTT	Goal
2	05:57	OTT	Goal
2	12:23	OTT	Goal
2	18:55	OTT	Goal
3	05:26	OTT	Goal
3	08:20	OTT	Goal
3	10:44	OTT	Goal
3	15:58	OTT	Goal
3	19:11	OTT	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 8 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.1