Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-01-14 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 50.4%

VGK: 49.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.29

VGK: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • LAK at home vs VGK: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	16	0	0.82
1	VGK	5	0	0.36
2	LAK	13	0	0.71
2	VGK	17	0	1.07
3	LAK	11	1	1.10
3	VGK	7	0	0.44
4	LAK	0	0	0.00
4	VGK	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0