Seattle Kraken at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-01-15 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 64.3%

SEA: 35.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.42

SEA: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	BOS	SEA
Season SV%	0.903	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.84	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	28	26	2	92.9%	3.64	2	1.64
SEA	Joey Daccord	24	20	4	83.3%	2.75	3	-1.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	BOS 4 - 2 SEA	BOS	BOS
2026-01-06	SEA 7 - 4 BOS	SEA	BOS
2024-12-12	SEA 5 - 1 BOS	SEA	SEA
2024-11-03	BOS 2 - 0 SEA	BOS	BOS
2024-02-26	SEA 4 - 3 BOS	SEA	BOS

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	10	1	0.51
1	SEA	11	1	0.96
2	BOS	10	0	0.64
2	SEA	17	1	1.61
3	BOS	13	2	1.59
3	SEA	14	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown