Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-01-15 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 65.2%
PHI: 34.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.26
PHI: 2.72
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | PIT | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.901 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • PIT at home vs PHI: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | PIT 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | PIT |
| 2026-01-15 | PIT 6 - 3 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-01 | PHI 1 - 5 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-28 | PHI 3 - 2 PIT | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-02-27 | PIT 5 - 4 PHI | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:16 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 12:25 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 01:16 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 02:17 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 18:29 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 03:10 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 04:27 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 10:54 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:25 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7
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