Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-01-15 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 52.5%

WPG: 47.5%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.40

WPG: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • MIN at home vs WPG: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.41
1	WPG	14	1	1.37
2	MIN	17	0	1.23
2	WPG	14	1	0.58
3	MIN	17	0	0.89
3	WPG	13	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2