Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-01-15 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

CHI: 45.2%

CGY: 54.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.88

CGY: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CHI at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CHI 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-11-18	CHI 5 - 2 CGY	CHI	CGY
2025-11-07	CGY 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	CGY
2025-01-13	CHI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-12-21	CGY 6 - 4 CHI	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.44
1	CGY	9	1	1.14
2	CHI	16	0	1.12
2	CGY	14	1	1.00
3	CHI	9	0	0.30
3	CGY	9	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0