New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-01-15 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 1 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 61.6%

NYI: 38.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.42

NYI: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	EDM 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	EDM
2025-10-16	NYI 4 - 2 EDM	NYI	EDM
2025-03-14	NYI 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	NYI
2024-11-12	EDM 4 - 3 NYI	EDM	EDM
2023-12-19	NYI 3 - 1 EDM	NYI	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	21	4	1.99
1	NYI	16	0	1.13
2	EDM	19	3	1.55
2	NYI	6	0	0.38
3	EDM	19	0	1.74
3	NYI	9	4	2.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6