New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2026-01-15 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 0 - 1 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 62.3%
NYI: 37.7%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.63
NYI: 3.15
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | EDM | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | EDM 0 - 1 NYI | NYI | EDM |
| 2025-10-16 | NYI 4 - 2 EDM | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-14 | NYI 1 - 2 EDM | EDM | NYI |
| 2024-11-12 | EDM 4 - 3 NYI | EDM | EDM |
| 2023-12-19 | NYI 3 - 1 EDM | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 13:42 | NYI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 0 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.6 - 3.1