San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-01-16 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

DET: 66.9%

SJS: 33.1%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.75

SJS: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs SJS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	DET 4 - 2 SJS	DET	DET
2025-11-02	SJS 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-14	DET 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	DET
2024-11-18	SJS 5 - 4 DET	SJS	DET
2024-01-02	SJS 3 - 5 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	21	1	1.27
1	SJS	11	2	2.04
2	DET	15	0	1.15
2	SJS	5	0	0.19
3	DET	13	3	1.96
3	SJS	12	1	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0