Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-01-16 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 9 - 1 Florida Panthers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 64.5%

FLA: 35.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.02

FLA: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Stat	CAR	FLA
Season SV%	0.901	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.80

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	16	15	1	93.8%	1.59	0	0.59
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	36	27	9	75.0%	4.00	5	-5.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • CAR at home vs FLA: 4-10

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	CAR 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	CAR
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	18	1	0.76
1	FLA	4	0	0.04
2	CAR	17	1	1.29
2	FLA	8	0	0.50
3	CAR	16	3	1.95
3	FLA	15	0	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown