Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-01-16 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 7 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 64.7%
NSH: 35.3%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.06
NSH: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | COL | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.936 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • COL at home vs NSH: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | COL 3 - 7 NSH | NSH | COL |
| 2025-12-13 | COL 4 - 2 NSH | COL | COL |
| 2025-12-09 | NSH 4 - 3 COL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-11-22 | NSH 0 - 3 COL | COL | NSH |
| 2025-02-22 | NSH 2 - 1 COL | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:16 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:32 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 01:24 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 00:30 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 18:04 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 13:01 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 17:41 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 17:04 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 15:13 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 01:09 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 7 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.1 - 2.6