Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-01-16 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 7 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 56.5%

NSH: 43.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.89

NSH: 2.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • COL at home vs NSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	21	1	1.24
1	NSH	16	1	0.86
2	COL	17	1	1.09
2	NSH	12	0	0.65
3	COL	14	0	0.72
3	NSH	11	3	2.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 7 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.9 - 2.4