Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-01-16 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 55.0%

ANA: 45.0%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.55

ANA: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	LAK	ANA
Season SV%	0.913	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	30	26	4	86.7%	4.52	2	0.52
ANA	Lukas Dostal	31	28	3	90.3%	4.71	2	1.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • LAK at home vs ANA: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	ANA 2 - 1 LAK	ANA	LAK
2026-01-16	LAK 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	LAK
2025-12-27	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK
2025-11-28	ANA 5 - 4 LAK	ANA	LAK
2025-04-10	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	1	1.61
1	ANA	9	0	0.67
2	LAK	16	0	1.32
2	ANA	19	0	1.06
3	LAK	10	0	0.64
3	ANA	12	0	0.77
4	LAK	1	0	0.06
4	ANA	3	0	0.33
5	LAK	3	1	1.07
5	ANA	3	2	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8